Sections: | Conference Information | Brown Bag Seminars | Papers and Proceedings |

The 17th Federal Forecasters Conference (FFC/2009) — September 24, 2009 — Washington, DC

Conference Theme:  Forecasting and Risk

Risk is an ever-present phenomenon.  Economic adversity, natural disasters, transportation disasters, health epidemics, and other misfortunes are always a possibility.  Forecasters are accustomed to uncertainty, but must address the potential for loss or injury with particular care.  Forecasters also aid in establishing recommendations for resolving the outcomes of those uncertainties, especially if the loss or injury would be of catastrophic proportions.  Turning points, unusual events, and low-probability shocks can take on enormous significance when their consequences are damaging.  FFC/2009 will examine this intersection between risk and forecasting as participants review how forecasters deal with risk and how they can help policy-makers and other decision-makers use forecasts to respond to potential adversity.

Announcement | Morning Panelists

Monthly Brown Bag Seminar: 

The Federal Forecasters Consortium (FFC), in alliance with The George Washington University (GWU), is pleased to announce our Brown Bag Seminar Series on Forecasting.

For more information on the brown bag series, go to the Research Program on Forecasting's website (at the George Washington University): http://www.gwu.edu/~forcpgm/ *(External link - see disclaimer page)

Also, the FFC Organizing Committee invites you to present a paper at the FFC Brown Bag Seminar Series at GWU which is held from 12:30 to 2:00 pm each month. For more information please contact :

Stephen MacDonald  STEPHENM@ers.usda.gov
Economic Research Service, USDA
1800 M Street, NW
Washington, DC 20036-5831
202-694-5305

Time and Location:
Tuesdays 12:30 pm - 2:00 pm
John W. Kendrick Seminar Room
Room 321
2115 G Street
Washington, DC 20052

2009

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

“Measuring U.S. International Relative Prices:  A WARP View of the World”

Jaime Marquez — Division of International Finance
Federal Reserve Board

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

“Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link”

Kajal Lahiri - Department of Economics
University at Albany, State University of New York

Friday, March 13 at 2:30

“Rethinking our Approach to Time Series Analysis”
Ralph Snyder - Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
Monash University, Australia

Tuesday, March 10

“Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads: Capturing Hourly, Daily, and Seasonal Effects”
Fred Joutz, George Washington University

Tuesday, February 10

“Evaluating Inflation Forecasts in Real Time.”
 Dean Croushore
  University of Richmond and Interim Director
  Real-Time Data Research Center
  Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

 

Tuesday, January 13

“Forecasting’ the U.S. Economy Over the Very Long Run”
Jeffery F. Werling, Inforum

Past Brown Bag Seminars since 2004 are located in the FFC Archive Library

 

 

 

Federal Forecasters Conference Papers and Proceedings:

• FFC2008 — The 16th Federal Forecasters Conference–2008: Papers and Proceedings (1,637 kb pdf format)
• FFC2006 — The 15th Federal Forecasters Conference–2006: Papers and Proceedings (3,959 kb pdf format)
• FFC2005 — The 14th Federal Forecasters Conference–2005: Papers and Proceedings (2,025 kb pdf format)
• FFC2003 — The 13th Federal Forecasters Conference–2003: Papers and Proceedings (6,283 kb pdf format)
• FFC2002 — The 12th Federal Forecasters Conference–2002: Papers and Proceedings (9,674 pdf format)
• FFC2000 — The 11th Federal Forecasters Conference–2000: Papers and Proceedings (23,105 pdf format)
• FFC1999 — The 10th Federal Forecasters Conference–1999: Papers and Proceedings (13,291 pdf format)
• FFC1997 — The Ninth Federal Forecasters Conference–1997: Papers and Proceedings (16,185pdf format)
• FFC1994_96 —The Eighth Federal Forecasters Conference–1996 and the Seventh Federal Forecasters Conference–1994: Combined Papers and Proceedings (9,674 pdf format)
• FFC1993 — The Sixth Annual Federal Forecasters Conference–1993: Papers and Proceedings (28,770 pdf format)
• FFC1992 — The Federal Forecasters Conference—1992: Papers and Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference (19,497 pdf format)
• FFC1991 — The Federal Forecasters Conference /1991: Papers and Proceedings of the Conference (15,521 pdf format)
• FFC1990 — The Federal Forecasters Conference /1990: Proceedings (9,310 pdf format)
• FFC1989 — Proceedings of the Second Annual Federal Forecasters Conference–September 6, 1989 (1,880 pdf format)
• FFC1988 — The Federal Forecasters Conference Proceedings–April 25, 1988 (1,245 pdf format)